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Archive for February, 2012
29 February
A China está estudando seriamente adotar medidas para facilitar que seus cidadãos invistam no exterior diretamente, como parte de seus esforços para diversificar as gigantescas reservas internacionais do país, segundo pessoas a par da questão.
Mas há grandes obstáculos para uma mudança como essa, como os temores de saída excessiva de capital motivada pela atual desaceleração da economia chinesa, alertaram as pessoas a par da questão.
A Agência Estatal do Câmbio, a autoridade que fiscaliza o mercado monetário do país e é parte do banco central, estuda expandir gradualmente o limite de moeda estrangeira que os chineses podem adquirir anualmente para investir no exterior, disseram as pessoas. Os chineses só podem trocar atualmente seus yuans pelo equivalente a US$ 50.000 em moeda estrangeira para investir no exterior.
A AEC não respondeu a pedidos para comentar a questão.
Aumentar a cota cambial para pessoas físicas representaria um passo pequeno, mas significativo para abrir a conta corrente da China, controlada estritamente pelas autoridades como uma maneira de administrar o câmbio e evitar fluxos especulativos. As autoridades chinesas de regulamentação geralmente têm que aprovar qualquer volume considerável de fluxo monetário – em moeda estrangeira ou local – que entra ou sai do país.
A iniciativa surge num momento em que a moeda chinesa, antes vista como a aposta mais segura do mercado financeiro, enfrenta pressão de queda em relação ao dólar, já que investidores e empresas diminuíram suas expectativas de valorização do yuan, pois apostam que o declínio na demanda pelas exportações do país forçará Pequim a reduzir ou até paralisar a valorização da moeda para tentar evitar o crescimento do desemprego.
As oscilações recentes no câmbio do yuan, dizem muitos observadores, são um sinal de amadurecimento do mercado do país e indicam que as famílias chinesas estão mais dispostas a diversificar a renda com aplicações em moedas estrangeiras como o dólar.
A flutuação em ambos os sentidos “deve criar uma condição excelente para permitir uma abertura razoável da conta corrente”, disse num evento sexta-feira Li Daokui, consultor do Banco Popular da China, o banco central do país. “Podemos incentivar as famílias a aplicar em dólares ou comprar ativos no exterior, como ações de empresas americanas, por meio de bancos comerciais.”
Li enfatizou também a necessidade de contar com uma “válvula” para bloquear grandes fugas de capital do país caso a China relaxe suas medidas para controlar o fluxo de capital.
Os reformistas chineses esperam que a mudança na política ajude a melhorar o retorno das reservas internacionais do país – atualmente em US$ 3,2 trilhões – que hoje estão aplicadas principalmente em papéis com baixo retorno, como os títulos de dívida do Tesouro americano.
29 February
Abu Dhabi A seminar to improve the scholarship system in the UAE took place on Monday at the Emirates Palace in Abu Dhabi.
Representatives from the Ministry of Education, several government entities, private industry and international scholars gathered to share experiences, discuss challenges and identify ways to improve the UAE’s scholarship system.
“Education and human development top the strategic priorities and are among the basic two pillars of vision 2021,” said Nasser Al Hameli, assistant undersecretary for the technical affairs office, at the Ministry of Presidential Affairs (MOPA).
The seminar is intended to synchronise and coordinate efforts, exchange information and best practices to improve the system and match the scholarships awarded to the UAE’s strategy, national needs and market demands.
Article continues below
29 February
Dubai: The use of inappropriate fishing methods and illegal net sizes were the main causes behind the death of mackerel tuna in Dubai waters this week. Known as saddah, the fish were found dead in large numbers in waters west of Dubai.
Major General Mohammad Al Merri, chairman of the Fishermen’s Cooperative Association of Dubai, explained how the fish died and said that a similar incident had occurred off the coast of Umm Al Quwain too.
Al Merri explained that the incorrect use of a professional fishing technique, combined with the use of illegal net sizes, around four times larger than that allowed by the law — were the main reasons behind the death of the fish in Dubai.
The technique, Al Merri said, needs professional fishermen and is used worldwide without any problems. But because it is relatively new in the UAE — introduced only two years ago — only a few boats are authorised to use it, six boats in Dubai and two in Sharjah, he explained.
Article continues below
29 February
By Chris Vellacott
LONDON |
Thu Oct 6, 2011 9:08am EDT
LONDON (Reuters) – Private banks are telling their clients financial volatility surrounding Europe’s debt crisis will continue for at least a year as more of the continent’s rich seek the comfort of household names or state backing when choosing where to bank.
“We are telling (clients) very honestly nobody knows how this is going to evolve and you have to be extremely careful in terms of your exposure,” said Alexandre Zeller, head of private banking for Europe, the Middle East and Africa at HSBC.
Pierre de Weck, wealth management head at Deutsche Bank, said during the Reuters Global Wealth Management Summit that clients could expect at least another 18 months of volatility.
“If you’re short term oriented and you cannot take pain, reduce risk because we are going to have a bumpy road over the next 18 months until this European sovereign crisis is resolved,” he said.
The market volatility since the summer and fears over bank solvency have boosted the kind of institution often shunned during boom times, on account of perceptions they are old fashioned or conservative, bankers said at the summit in Geneva this week
“It has been an accelerating factor in the last few weeks, we have observed a flight to safety. Banks with solid balance sheets, with conservative management and approach to the markets, are seeing significant inflows on a global scale,” said Zeller,
“If you look at it more locally, state guaranteed institutions are seeing significant inflows . part-nationalized banks or those with an implicit state guarantee,” he said.
James Fleming, head of the international business at Coutts, a division of part nationalized British lender Royal Bank of Scotland, tracing its origins back to 1692, said it had attracted clients in the crisis seeking comfort in its history.
“All the major financial booms and busts in last 320 years, we’ve navigated our clients through. And I think clients see that,” he said.
Yves Mirabaud, managing partner at Swiss bank Mirabaud & Cie, said the woes of large banking groups, most recently an alleged rogue trading scandal at Swiss giant UBS, was boosting the appeal of Switzerland’s family-run partnerships.
“I don’t know if the fact it is a family business is a selling point … (But) when you see how the big banks have behaved the past few years I believe that the model is stronger than ever,” he said.
(Reporting by Chris Vellacott; Editing by Hans-Juergen Peters)
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29 February
NEW YORK Feb 27 (Reuters) – The International Swaps
and Derivatives Association, the arbiter of rules governing the
sale and use of credit default swaps, said on Monday
it will decide this week whether to discuss if Greece’s debt
swap should constitute a “credit event” and trigger a payout.
One of the major concerns about Greece’s debt restructuring
was whether the hard-fought agreement with private debt holders
would give Greek sovereign credit default swap investors a
justification for demanding payment on the protection they
bought.
The issue arises because an ISDA member asked the governing
body if last week’s approval by Greece’s Parliament to implement
collective actions clauses (CAC) on debt governed by Greek law
constitutes a so-called “restructuring credit event.”
At issue is the retroactive inclusion of CACs into sovereign
debt governed by Greek law. CACs force all bondholders to
proceed with a swap once it has won a specified level of
approval.
The ISDA member contends that not all bondholders are being
treated equally.
The question asks whether the Greek debt restructuring is a
“credit event” because it subordinates eligible bondholders to
the European Central Bank and other national central banks,
which hold sovereign debt governed by Greek law.
ISDA said in a statement it will make a decision on whether
to review the issue by 5 p.m. GMT on Wednesday.
Private investors holding about 200 billion euros of Greek
bonds will take a loss of 53.5 percent in the face value of
their holdings and a real loss of 73-74 percent.
Credit default swaps provide protection for an investor who
holds an underlying security that suffers from a default or
restructuring.
According to the new law, the swap will go ahead once 50
percent of bondholders have responded to the offer, and the CACs
will be activated once a two-thirds majority of that quorum has
voted in favor of the swap.
A credit event occurs, or is triggered, when there is either
a failure to pay, a repudiation/moratorium, or restructuring of
the underlying debt.
Also at issue is if the announcement results directly or
indirectly from a deterioration in the creditworthiness or
financial condition of Greece.
ISDA’s regional Determinations Committees discuss issues
involving credit events, CDS auctions, succession events and
other issues, with decisions governed by a set of internal
rules.
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29 February
Take That's Gary Barlow and Andrew Lloyd Webber have announced they are to create a song together for the Queen's Diamond Jubilee celebrations.
The collaboration will be performed at the Diamond Jubilee Concert outside Buckingham Palace on 4 June.
For inspiration, Barlow is to travel round the Commonwealth to discover what the Queen means to ordinary people.
"This is probably the biggest challenge I've ever taken on musically," Barlow said.
"I'm so excited and thrilled to be a part of it."
Barlow's journey, which will also explore the different musical cultures and traditions in the Commonwealth nations, will be the subject of an hour-long documentary for BBC One.
"It is a huge honour to be involved in this historic occasion and I am looking forward very much to working with Gary," Lord Lloyd Webber said.
'Join forces'
Speaking on Chris Evans' Radio 2 Breakfast Show, he explained how the collaboration came about.
"We both realised that there was a possibility that we would both be writing a song for the Jubilee to celebrate the Queen. I called Gary and said: 'Are you doing it because someone's talked to me about it?'
"And we thought it best to say we might join forces."
X Factor judge Barlow said he was hoping to find some "unique artist" from around the world, who could perform the track.
The Jubilee concert – which Barlow is helping to organise – has now attracted more than one million ticket applications.
Sir Paul McCartney, Sir Elton John, Dame Shirley Bassey, Jessie J, Ed Sheeran and Sir Cliff Richard have all been signed up to perform.
29 February
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28 February
South Korea has developed into one of Asia's most affluent countries since partition in 1948. The Communist North has slipped into totalitarianism and poverty.
The Republic of Korea was proclaimed in August 1948 and received UN-backed support from the US after it was invaded by the North two years later.
The Korean War ended in 1953 without a peace agreement, leaving South Korea technically at war for more than fifty years.
The following four decades were marked by authoritarian rule. Government-sponsored schemes encouraged the growth of family-owned industrial conglomerates, known as "chaebol". Foremost among them were the Hyundai and Samsung groups.
They helped transform South Korea into one of the world's major economies and a leading exporter of cars and electronic goods.
Although the South Korean economy is now the third largest in Asia and the 13th in the world, the high levels of foreign debt held by the country's banks have left them exposed to the fallout from the global credit crisis.
A multi-party political system was restored in 1987, and President Roh Tae-Woo launched an anti-corruption campaign against both his own party and his political predecessor.
Relations with its northern neighbour remain a major concern in Seoul, particularly over the North's fragile economy and its nuclear ambitions. South Korea generally resisted international calls for sanctions against the North over its nuclear programme and pursued a "sunshine" policy of engagement in the late 1990s.
This has involved aid – including shipments of fertiliser and rice – reunions between North and South Koreans, tourist projects and economic cooperation. South Korean companies employed thousands of North Korean workers at the Kaesong industrial complex near the border.
The "sunshine" ended with the election in 2008 of conservative President Lee Myung-bak, who adopted a tougher tone towards the North in response to its failure to move on the nuclear issue.
Tensions were heightened further by a spate of Northern missile tests in 2009 and then by the sinking of the Southern naval ship Cheonan in March 2010, in which 46 sailors died.
After international investigators reported finding evidence that the Cheonan was sunk by a torpedo from a North Korean submarine, South Korea stopped all trade between the two states. Pyongyang rejected the claim as "fabrication" and retaliated by cutting all relations with Seoul.
A serious cross-border clash in November 2010, as a result of which the South Korean military was placed on its highest non-wartime alert, threatened to set relations back even further.
The demilitarised zone (DMZ) between South and North Korea is the world's most heavily-fortified frontier. But the US, which maintains tens of thousands of soldiers in South Korea, is pulling its forces away from the front line and plans to hand over wartime operational control to the South Korean military in April 2012.
28 February
LOS ANGELES, C A(Catholic Online) – Khaled Fahmy, head of history at the American University in Cairo describes it as a “grey economy, in the sense that we know very little of them, they are not subject to any Parliamentary scrutiny, the Egyptian government auditing office has no control or knowledge of them.”
The Egyptian military has created an industrial complex that is well oiled and well funded, producing over 35 factories and companies. The military produces everything from flat-screen televisions to pasta to refrigerators to cars.
The military also owns restaurants and football grounds. The majority of the labor is provided by conscripts paid below the average wage. And it is not just manufactured goods: the military provide services, such as the management of gas stations and retail outlets.
The Egyptian military also are huge land owners. A quick drive through Nasr City in Cairo reveals much prime real estate that lies in military hands.
Soldiers live in their own villages. The army has become a separate entity untouchable by the state with an unaudited economy.
The Egyptian military consists of almost half a million conscripts that have not fought a war since 1973 and are well funded. These soldiers need to be placated and controlled.
Fahmy says that under Mubarak, a tight lid was kept on his officer corps because of the deep and historic anxiety of a coup. After all, it was a coup in 1952 which brought the army to power in the first place.
“Mubarak made sure his high brass was loyal to him and he made sure his mid-ranking officers were put under tight control and one way to do this was to force them into retirement when they get to the age of 50, then the question is what do you do with all these retired officers?”
It’s estimated that up to 250,000 officers were retired under the 30 years of Mubarak’s presidency, which is a huge number of men and families that needed to be placated. One way was to open up prospects of employment for them after retirement.
Under Nasser, ex-army officers would be rewarded by being given ministerial positions or positions in the provincial governorates.
Under Sadat and Mubarak, would reward army officers by inserting them into this empire and service industry, and reward police officers with political positions.
The military’s economy, like its political dealings is more under the spotlight than ever before. On a grassroots level, groups like April 6 are starting a campaign to boycott army-made products.
“Just like we’re trying to bring them down politically, now we’re also trying to do it economically and redistribute the wealth to the people,” member Salem Mahmoud says.
© 2012, Catholic Online. Distributed by NEWS CONSORTIUM.
However, the boycott is still at an infant stage, and unlikely to get much traction amongst the majority of the population.
Many agree that if Egypt is going to be a true democracy, some of the military’s business dealings and its privileges such as subsidies and tax breaks will need to be questioned.
© 2012, Catholic Online. Distributed by NEWS CONSORTIUM.
28 February
BERLIN (Reuters) – Starved of credit, and facing a lack of deals and a new bout of indignation over executive pay, the private equity sector has one solace: returns continue to be better than those in stock markets.
Buy-out houses, which make a living buying and selling companies for profit, have agreed some $15.2 billion of deals so far in 2012, down 28 percent on last year.
They have found it hard to raise debt to fund deals, the fuel that drives the industry, and it is equally challenging to sell companies on the stock market, or to other large corporate rivals, who are sitting tight on their cash reserves.
But when the industry gets together in a plush hotel in historic heart of German capital Berlin, it can at least point to returns of 11.5 percent in 2011, compared with a drop in global median total equity returns of 3.7 percent, according to data from Wilshire Trust Universe Comparison Service.
It may be significantly lower than the 20 percent plus annualised returns that private equity firms usually target but it has been enough to satisfy many investors who typically look for them to outperform equities by 300 to 500 basis points.
“The returns that this asset class has generated for our pension fund are superior to other asset classes,” said Jane Rowe, senior vice president at Ontario Teachers Pension Plan last month.
It marked a rare intervention by one of the world’s largest private equity investors as the industry faced political and public vilification over claims of job cutting and asset stripping.
The real measure of success for private equity and its investors is the cash that flows into their accounts when companies are sold. That drives returns and fills executive bonus pots.
That tap is dripping, not flowing, but large businesses are attracting global attention. CVC’s brewing business in Central and Eastern Europe, which has Czech beer Staropramen at its heart, has drawn the world’s largest brewers including AB InBev and Japanese groups like Asahi and Suntory.
DEALS RETURNING
Returning confidence in global stock markets and a more stable outlook for the euro zone, combined with an improvement in debt markets, for now at least, may herald an increase in private equity deals.
“Equity markets are healthy and that instills confidence.” said one banker who advises private equity firms on deals.
It has not been a lack of capital that has hampered buyouts in recent months, as private equity firms sit on some $370 billion for deals, according to data firm Preqin, but an inability to access debt at the right prices.
The $15.2 billion of deals agreed so far in 2012 is about a fifth of what private equity firms inked in the same period of 2007, according to Thomson Reuters data.
The capital and the appetite for lending and underwriting loans by the large investment banks is coming back, the banker said. But others are disappointed dealmaking has not picked up more quickly.
“Given the uptick in public markets, it’s a little bit quieter than we were hoping,” said a second banker who advises private equity firms on deals in Europe.
Buyout firms and their advisers will have to sit on their hands a little longer, as confidence and appetite for risk filters through into the lending markets that grease the wheels and make buyouts work.
But as one cloud lifts another sweeps in.
Politicians and commentators are turning a spotlight on the industry’s activities and the compensation of its leading figures, drawn by Bain Capital founder Mitt Romney and his bid to become the next President of the United States.
IN THE SPOTLIGHT
Buyout firms and their leading executives are used to navigating choppy markets and have experience of coming under fierce attack from critics, who have dubbed them locusts and asset strippers.
As hundreds congregate for the annual SuperReturn conference, attention will focus on how they fend off unwanted scrutiny and counter sometimes vicious attacks.
The signs, at least, are that the public pension funds, endowments and sovereign wealth funds that back the private equity groups are still providing funds to the biggest and best performers.
BC Partners last week said it had raised 6.5 billion euros for its latest buyout fund, more than it originally expected.
That will give heart to the many firms that are following, such as Apax, Permira and Cinven, all looking to raise multi-billion euro pools of capital, now joined by Advent International, which is looking to raise 7 billion euros for deals, people familiar with the situation said.
But cautious investors are taking longer to make decisions.
The process for BC Partners took some 18 months from the point of issuing documents to potential investors. Blackstone, meanwhile, has taken four years to raise about $16 billion for its latest buyout fund.
“Fundraising was very difficult and much more complicated than in the past. It never took so long to close a fund,” said Stefan Zuschke, German country head for BC Partners.
(additional reporting by Philipp Halstrick, editing by Mark Potter)
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